# Stick or Switch? The Missing Ace Problem

## Prologue

[wpvideo Ytdf27NB]

## Act I

Is it better to stick or switch?

## Act II

- What's your hypothesis: stick or switch?
- What's the theoretical probability of your hypothesis?
- How would you set up an experiment to test the experimental probability?
- Will the experimental probability exactly match the theoretical probability?

## Act III and Sequel

Here is the problem in its original context. The history of this problem is fascinating. The Time Everyone "Corrected" the World's Smartest Woman